Ukraine War Lessons for Europe
Deepak Razdan
Wednesday, 4 June, 2025
If the Ukraine-Russia war enters the Europe mainland,
as members of the European Union (EU) and the United Kingdom fear it every day,
Ukraine will be its undeclared leader for Europe.
Ukraine’s Spider’s Web drone attack on far-flung
Russian airfields last Sunday left little doubt about this. US President Donald
Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin discussed the attack over phone on Wednesday,
with Mr Putin saying Russia would have to respond.
President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s country is the only
country in Europe which has fought a modern war, for over three years in a
stretch, and replied drones and missiles in the same language, though not
equally, but with an indefatigable spirit against a bigger and powerful rival.
The other European powers, the UK, France and Germany,
two of them nuclear-armed, are strong militarily, well-stocked with deadly
arsenal, but without knowledge what a drone-missile game may really entail in
terms of strategic ups and downs or civilian losses.
The UK has just come out with its Strategic Defence
Review to upgrade its defence capability, Germany has announced a much larger
defence budget and France is offering its nuclear umbrella to other European
nations.
The UK, France and Germany have been helping Ukraine
with money and warfare equipment, convinced as they are that Russia is
targeting the Ukrainian democracy just for its getting closer to its European
neighbours.
A series of events has taken place which shows Europe
is concerned about the Ukraine war and wants to learn from it.
French President Emmanuel Macron, German Chancellor
Friedrich Merz, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Polish Prime Minister
Donald Tusk met Mr Zelenskyy in Kyiv on 10th May and jointly issued a strong
statement asking Russia to agree to an unconditional ceasefire or face tougher
sanctions.
Ukraine is fighting the war every day, holding the
Russian forces on the ground, and rejecting all conditions put by Russia for a
ceasefire. Mr Zelenskyy has repeatedly ruled out ceding any territory to
Russia, or giving up Crimea which has remained under Russia’s control for
years.
All this while Ukraine has been weathering Russian
missiles, some of them hitting civilian areas. Mr Zelenskyy is constantly
urging the US to put pressure on Russia for a ceasefire and threaten it with
stronger sanctions.
The Ukraine leader has been touring the world to
explain his country’s stand and seeking support in every manner, visiting 18
countries in two dozen trips since the beginning of this year.
By making several diplomatic tours in the middle of a
devastating war, Mr Zelenskyy has already exhibited his leadership qualities,
and his military has shown what it can do under his leadership.
The European nations were always concerned about the
continuing Ukraine-Russia war in close neighbourhood. But their concern turned
into fear when the US President told them that they were contributing too
inadequately to the NATO military alliance fund, and should not depend on the
US for their security.
This gave the European Union (EU) a sense that it was
on its own, as far as its security was concerned and could not count on the US
for support, in case Russia acted against EU members for helping Ukraine. The
war was happening too close to them to be taken lightly.
The New World that US President’s tariff offensive created
in April exposed economic inequality among nations and their helplessness to
deal with it immediately.
Soon there was another realization about the lack of defence
preparedness, considering the level of threat perception. There is growing
pressure that NATO members should spend three per cent of their GDP on defence
by 2030.
The European nations including the UK, have been since
coming closer on security issues. After the Kyiv meeting, the European leaders
met at the European Political Community (EPC)’s summit in the Albanian Capital
Tirana on 16th May.
This meeting was attended by heads of government and
State from 27 European Union (EU) member-nations and 20 non-EU countries
including the UK’s Prime Minister and Mr Zelenskyy.
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen
said the EPC was founded to formulate a European
answer to the Ukraine-Russia war and to make sure that “we have stability on
the European continent.”
Mr Zelenskyy met the German Chancellor in Berlin a
week ago where the Chancellor offered him new weapons with no range
restrictions.
The UK Prime Minister released on 2nd June the
Strategic Defence Review 2025. Introducing the document, he said “My
first duty as Prime Minister is to keep the British people safe.”
He said “In this
new era for defence and security, when Russia is waging war on our continent
and probing our defences at home, we must meet the danger head on. We must
recognise the very nature of warfare is being transformed on the battlefields
of Ukraine and adapt our armed forces and our industry to lead this innovation.”
“We are
delivering our commitment to spend 2.5% of GDP on defence, accelerating it to
2027, and we have set the ambition to reach 3% in the next Parliament, subject
to economic and fiscal conditions. This investment will end the hollowing out
of our armed forces and enable the UK to step up, to lead in NATO, and take
greater responsibility for our collective self-defence,” Sir Keir said.
The Review has
proposed strengthening each of the three wings of the armed forces, the Army,
the Navy and the Air Force. It also proposed to establish a new Cyber and
Electromagnetic Command to lead defensive and offensive cyber capabilities, as
well as electromagnetic warfare - such as the ability to jam signals to drones
or missiles.
The Review said
that UK’s innovation will be driven by lessons from Ukraine. There will be harnessing
of drones, data, and digital warfare to make the Armed Forces stronger and
safer. A "10-times more lethal" army, combining air defence,
artificial intelligence, long-range weapons and land drone swarms has been
conceived by the Review.
Defence Ministers
of Germany, UK and Ukraine met at Brussels on Wednesday to consider the Ukraine
war situation where Germany and the UK committed expanding defence aid to
Ukraine. A NATO Summit is due to take place on 24-25 June.
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